giovedì 12 giugno 2014

Tom Palmer lecture in Tallinn (June 12, 2014)

(In the following often Tom's ideas and my own interpretations are mixed together, but sometimes explicitly differentiated.) 
In very broad terms, capitalism is an economic form where a substantial part of the profit is reinvested rather than consumed or dilapidated. Very quickly this gives an explosive character to the capitalist economy, because in principle the reinvested sum will grow exponentially. But the functioning of this system poses additional requirements of varying importance:
-       Rule of law, in order for the economic agents to maintain the interest to invest; they would lose this interest if they can be arbitrarily deprived of their property or of their “interest”.
-       This to an important extent requires the separation of political and economic power (so that laws are not bought and that the law applies equally to the rich and to the poor); otherwise it will degenerate into cronyism (more about it below).
-       To maintain this rule of law and separation of powers, a certain culture, moral and ethics are required. First of all, the tolerance of alterity and the existence of free agents that I do not own and cannot force, but whom I have to persuade (although the border between force and persuasion is somewhat hazy) – this maintains the differentiation of the society in general and of the economic order in particular. On the other hand it requires important social cohesion and integration, some general consensus or mutual trust in the society. Without this trust, again, the investments cannot be safe.  
-       The acceptance of otherness is related to three important concepts – competition, lack of central planning and emergent order. Competition requires independent free agents (no slaves, no monopolies or cartels). This in turn would require the lack or perhaps a strong restraint on central planning, because such planning would reduce freedom and alterity, and distort the situation in economically inefficient ways. So, in general terms, this means the preference of emergent order over planned one. 
-       Readiness for innovation and tools for it – in the first place, education, and in the second place, and important edge in favor of innovation and change. Economic innovation and social change are inherent in capitalism, in the sense that this form of accumulation leads to technical innovations which lead to new forms of human relations. Every society has in itself a dialectics of traditionalism and innovation, and both are necessary, but for capitalism to thrive, innovation must maintain the upper hand. This is the “creative destruction”: new forms of production and social relations are formed, and old ones become obsolete, and the society is ready to adapt to these changes rather than trying to swim counter to the economic current.
-       The concrete form of competition and the tool of economic emergence is the differential of profits and losses. If innovations would be the equivalent of random mutations in darwinism (most of which are deleterious or useless both in nature and in culture), then the differential of profits and losses would be the equivalent of natural selection. If you lose too much, you are eliminated from the forefront of the  economic action. Even though humans are conscious agents, still this differential works to a great extent blindly. We simply cannot predict for sure what is profitable in the future, and very often we make wrong guesses. And this trial and error is essential to capitalism.

Tom Palmers brought out three rectification of metaphors about competition, exchange and profit. According to him the habitual metaphors about competition are “dog eat dog”, “cutthroat” etc., so that competition would be reckless or indifferent at best, whereas in reality a capitalist competition serves the interests of cooperation (between the producer and consumer, if I understood correctly: I compete with other producers in order to cooperate with my consumer). The metaphors about exchange present it as selfish and greedy, whereas a free exchange is in principle a win-win situation and useful for both parties (I get what I need and the seller gets money with what s/he can get what s/he needs) – a demonstration of which would be the mutual thanking in case of a commercial transaction, whereas in case of a favor only one party thanks and the other says that it was a pleasure etc. And profit is presented as “obscene” or “windfall”, whereas it is just the economic reality principle to test the innovations; and the amount of profit would measure the amount of value added to the product.
To comment on these three, I would say that 1) in an ideal state of affairs we could say that competition would indeed be ultimately cooperative, but in the modern world there are lots of ways of violating this principle: e.g. a large amount of goods commercialized do not intend so much to “cooperate” with the consumer, taking into consideration his/her health and wellbeing, but rather simply to capture his/her imagination and affects, so that s/he would buy it even if s/he doesn’t need it or if it is noxious to the health and wellbeing (coke, fast food, beer, fast loans etc). Of course it is a good point that in economy the competition cannot or should not mean destruction of competitors and consumers. But then we should be more precise about competition and denounce faltered or biased forms of competition (from corruption all the way to forms of psychological insinuation). 2) Similar considerations apply also for exchange. Consumerism often means a win-lose situation when we buy things we don’t need. We cannot presume a wholly rational subject. 3) The story about profit applies better to old forms of industrial production, where the capitalist or owner of the factory depends to a large extent on his workers, and is induced to share his profit with the workers (although still most often strikes and trade unions are needed to do the job). The story about added value becomes much more vague in case of modern financial products, where the biggest profits are made. Is it really value added? Or is it just an abuse of power of economic agents who know how to exploit some features of the financial system? Of course we can argue that the abuses are even worse in other, non-free economies, but still it means that social and cultural control is crucial – and this doesn’t necessarily have to take the form of federal regulations, but can arise from the bottom up, from the cooperation of “99%”, etc., that can force those financial agents to comply with the common good (although the success or failure of such kind of pressure still has to be seen).

One of Tom’s central points was that the antithesis of capitalism today is not socialism any more, but cronyism that defies the principles of meritocracy, equality, lawfulness, and where the state apparatus is used to extract privileges. Whereas a free-market capitalism would mean a net gain for everybody (the society as a whole is richer than it used to be half a century ago), cronyism is very profitable to a small amount of people and disastrous for the society as a whole (both in terms of wealth unlawfully appropriated and in terms of hampered growth). This I take to be a good point.
The problem is that there is some amount of cronyism always (and Tom Palmer acknowledges that US economy has become to a considerable extent cronyist, with powerful lobby-groups in Washington, and public bailouts for private losses – so that the reality principle doesn’t work well any more). Now, the problem when we propagate free trade economy and minimum state intervention is that it can in fact enhance cronyism. I am not able to judge, whether or not the deregulation of financial markets would have been justified, if later there would have been no bailouts, allowing those who took the risk, to bear the losses. But let’s take a scenario: first a branch of economy is bred in a country, subsidized and protected by tolls. When the production has taken off and become industrialized and efficient, then we go and tell another country to do free trade with us (perhaps backed up with our military power), so that we can bring in our cheaper goods in large quantities, and effectively bring the country’s own respective sector to a standstill and forcing it to depend on us from now on. Is it really free economy? Actually we couldn’t consider it as a fair competition and free exchange, because in past (and perhaps continually in present) we artificially create favorable conditions for our firms, and unfavorable for those in the country we force into free trade (and wouldn’t it be a new form of colonialism?).
Tom stressed that capitalist production is not only about greed and selfishness, but also about mission. This sounded a little bit doubtful. Can we really rely on capitalists’ sense of mission for them to be socially responsible? Especially in these days of globalization, where one can move one’s enterprise easily from one state to another, from one country to another, perhaps repeating the same predatory methods as in previous places?
I think that, again, several forms of social pressure are necessary to counterbalance cronyisms, lacks of mission and social responsibility etc. Tom didn’t dwell much on those forms of social and political activity; but he did bring an example of his own experience. To counteract Reagan’s initiative to impede the import of steel from Asia and the Soviet Union, he convinced Caterpillar that this measure would not be good for them, so that they started to support him. This seemed to be also his general advice: to counteract cronys, find those whose interests are harmed, and fight together. I would like to broaden the scope of this activity – it is not only about influential corporations whom to convince to fight for a cause, but more generally civil society should organize itself – and in a free society this must have an impact (not only during the elections, but also between them). But then again, multinational corporations these days are so big and influential, that even any single country (USA included) might be unable to fight their cronyizing tendencies. I think we are in need also of a multinational civil society. I hope it is being born these days.
Again, Tom Palmer presented well known correspondences between the economic and political freedom of the society, and of its wealth. The societies that are most free both economically and socially, are also the wealthiest, and those with least freedom, are among the poorest. But I am afraid that even if this trend is true generally, the recent history doesn’t support this beautiful picture so well in very many particular cases, since there are examples of wealthy and/or quickly developing countries with very little political freedom: PRC, Russia (prior to the affair in Ukraine), several arab oil-producing countries... It seems that new symbioses have been found between central planning and free market (most notably in PRC), and also of marrying this with censorship and limited social freedoms. Of course, they could be defined better as crony-capitalist countries, but I think this brings out the fact the hope of “first developing economy, then gaining political rights” is a merely empirical regularity and might not work in the future or in particular cases. It would mean that we must from the start demand also political rights – because it does seem logical that at least in the long run it would hamper also the economy, if human rights are violated and political rights reduced.


I think that we could redefine right- and left-wing: they would not be a support for, respectively, capitalism or socialism any more, but they would differ rather in their emphasis: right-wing would consider problems resolvable in strictly economic terms, whereas left-wing stresses more social and cultural aspects. I think it is more a difference of stress and focus, rather than a heated “cold war” of ideologies. We have seen that capitalism cannot exist without a certain legal, social and cultural context, and also to counterbalance its opposite, i.e. cronyism, several forms of civil and social activism, organization of people are needed – and new forms for this must be invented. To sum up, I would agree to much of what Tom Palmer talked, and I am equally suspicious of centrally planned economy and of cronies. But still my focus is somewhat different (left-wing, in the redefined sense), bringing in social and cultural factors, and the necessity of finding ways of fighting the stagnating state power and usurping cronies.

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